WW3-Ukraine, Iran, China is asshoe thread.

    Quote from Gina

    rabidrabit , do you think Russia is going to be able to sustain this war?

    That is a complicated conversation once you dig into it. In a nutshell, They are burning resources much faster than they can replace them however, they can continue doing so for at least a few more months. If the Ukes can't build up mobile forces to conduct combined arms pushes they run the risk of continuing to be dragged out in ww1 style trench warfare where Russia has some advantages. That is why they are asking for more tanks and IFV's. They don't want to get stuck mutually grinding away lives.


    There are many facets to the conversation so ask away any I'll share my opinions on them.

    That's what I'm thinking. But I think that the more other countries got behind the Ukraine the less likely Russia was going to do that. They thought they would have a free ride just like Crimea. No opposition.


    But I worry about Ukraine running out of resources.


    I love reading this thread though. It's the most formative news source that there is in my opinion.

    Quote from El Sluggo Loco

    Eventually Russia will become frustrated enough to pop off a nuke.

    Among other things, they were told that doing so would result in NATO systematically annihilating any forces within UA borders. In short, if they used nukes, there is no winning scenario for them. And that is the judgement they would need to make. If they step over that line, what chance is there that doing so would have a positive result? That is their conundrum. Also, UA now has 4 patriot batteries which are designed to intercept ballistic missiles.


    People throw things around likes is a simple world but it is far more complicated than that.

    Quote from rabidrabit

    I had a long informational thread going FW that I am not likely to continue updating. As part of my daily routine I come across a lot of information and am OK with sharing some of that here if you guys actually care. We good with not being retards and sharing info to have a better understanding of how it is going?

    Thank Goodness you are over here posting this stuff. I was wondering if you had quit, As I have said before I'm not on telegram, and my twitter feed has become too convoluted to find much of this on my own. Your updates are very informative and appreciated.

    Quote from Gina

    But I worry about Ukraine running out of resources.

    UA has even more men under arms than the Russians so when it comes to a grinding trench war going on years, that is a possibility. Russia lost more than half their total mechanized vehicles so far and the replacement rate is well under the weekly loss rate. That is a problem for Russia and they are using the suicidal tactics they are now because they have few choices left.


    War is a matter of will and ability. That is the long term factors. This will be over when one side runs out of at least one of those.


    So, UA has the ability to resist Russia's limited ability to push them with them both stuck in trench warfare. UA is looking to increase it's ability to conduct mechanized warfare at scale enough to be decisive. They are about at parity with the Russians now tank and IFV wise but they need enough to both hold the line and also effect the rolling fist of combined arms maneuvers. That is why they are asking for tanks and IFVs.

    Quote from ASTAC

    Thank Goodness you are over here posting this stuff. I was wondering if you had quit, As I have said before I'm not on telegram, and my twitter feed has become too convoluted to find much of this on my own. Your updates are very informative and appreciated.

    I'm glad people appreciate the effort. I can't bring myself to enable the Aryan Brotherhood pseudo religion fraud shitbag that is spamming FW. As long as he is there, I will do nothing to keep FW alive.

    BAKHMUT /2125 UTC 23 JAN/ RU has continued incremental advances in the Bakhmut Area of Operations. N of Bakhmut, UKR troops are contesting a RU attack on Krasna Hora. UKR air defense downed 2 Russian Su-25 strike aircraft, a Ka-52 attack helicopter and an Orlan-10 recon UAV.

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    Quote from rabidrabit

    Estonia plans to close the Gulf of Finland to russia - the head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Estonia, Urmas Reinsalu

    \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83E\uDD1D\uD83C\uDDEA\uD83C\uDDEA pic.twitter.com/KVsQjPZJ5j

    — Big Boss fella \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF2\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@fdd_th) January 23, 2023

    I doubt they could actually enforce anything in the contiguous zone. Hell I doubt they could even enforce their territorial waters. It's a good look and show of opposition to Russia though.