Ukraine War thread.

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    My opinions on avdiivka and what I have noticed so far \uD83E\uDDF5 pic.twitter.com/FGToqvgdgJ
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023


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    The Russians started the battle in Avdiivka by throwing several soldiers, vehicles, drones, etc. at the Ukrainians and suffered heavy casualties, but as it was a very large force, the Ukrainians ended up Saturated, which gave room for some advances. https://t.co/HhkHudiJeJ
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023


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    Avdiivka Battle Map \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (October 29)

    In the past month, Russian Forces have advanced up to 1.7km from their positions at the start of October

    In total, Russian Forces are confirmed to have lost at least 50 Tanks and at least 120 APCs/IFVs in the past month on the Avdiivka front pic.twitter.com/r7Pjgjy5Hb
    — Ukraine Battle Map (@ukraine_map) October 29, 2023
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    With Ukrainian forces becoming saturated, the 47th mechanized brigade previously deployed to Zaporizhia was deployed to the area to help stop Russian advances.https://t.co/EL7oyJZ3bL
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023
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    M2 Bradley, Avdiivka pic.twitter.com/i4N8365rPE
    F76 (@f76pacificator) November 3, 2023
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    the 47th brigade lost some vehicles to the Russians including a leopard that was abandoned after being damaged but I think it can still be recovered, the Ukrainians suffered many casualties in the city in general but on the Russian side things are worse https://t.co/bwnYguQ8lc
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023


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    You see, this whole Russian operation is poorly coordinated, they just throw several vehicles and people at the Ukrainian defenses which become saturated at some point. Something I already mentioned in the thread https://t.co/8luTnnSFnI
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023
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    The amount of Russian scrap metal near Avdiivka is piling up. Another attempt by the Russian army to break through the lines using several armored vehicles and trashing them all. There is even a turret toss included.



    Source: Drone operators of the Ukrainian 79th Air Assault… pic.twitter.com/vtCnXHqR8a
    — (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) October 16, 2023formations of vehicles being launched against Ukrainian defenses in the city is something we can always observe, vehicles almost glued together advancing over minefields, Being hit by cluster ammunition, FPV drones, etc. pic.twitter.com/jvBG5lmGzY
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    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023



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    The attrition of the Russian attack forces has become so much that we can observe them using unarmored trucks to carry out assaults on Ukrainian positions, Showing the level of damage that those forces suffered after several poorly coordinated attacks pic.twitter.com/ajIYujVkbn
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023


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    An acquaintance of mine said that avdiivka is not like bahkmut, since in bahkmut they didn't have a cluster or FPV drones to defend themselves. I agree 100% with this, Ukrainians are using Many cluster bombs that help inflict heavy casualties. https://t.co/vLTMjvm5nV
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023
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    ??\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6Ukrainian military personnel from the 110th separate mechanized brigade attack \uD83C\uDDF7\uD83C\uDDFARussian military personnel in the Avdiivka area with cluster munitions and dropping ammunition from a drone. pic.twitter.com/buTgbtf30N
    — \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6Ukrainian Front (@front_ukrainian) November 1, 2023


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    Writing correction thanks to my damn translator: the Ukrainians had FPV drones in bahkmut yes, but not as many as in avdiivka.
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023


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    I've been observing that Russian attacks often take place in a very flat environment, this helps with the work of the bombs as they don't have many places to hide after all, Which increases the casualty rate considerably. https://t.co/rNiT4iq7mc
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023
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    Stunning video from the 47th Brigade\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 near #Avdiivka: artillery shelling hits russian IFVs and, after russian infantry dismount, a barrage of cluster munitions covers them pic.twitter.com/KRqshoodXq
    — Evgen Vorobiov \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@vorobyov) November 6, 2023


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    As mentioned before, the Ukrainians have many FPV drones in the area and use them a lot, they are responsible for destroying several vehicles and killing many soldiers (Oh don't tell me Sherlock Holmes) https://t.co/ZoXzYcOiA9
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023
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    The operators of the 53rd Brigade's attack UAVs are destroying Russians in the Avdiivka sector with ammunition drops and FPV drones.



    \uD83D\uDCF9https://t.co/4Xqea0Vk0L pic.twitter.com/iOpt4ehh9g
    Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) November 4, 2023



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    Final opinions: the time of this battle depends on how much the Russians have men and vehicles to take to this meat grinder, I don't think the city will fall since the Ukrainians have weapons that help with human and vehicle waves (cluster and many FPV drones) pic.twitter.com/vf40kKDhEY
    — 2S7 pion (trost) (@Trotes936897) November 8, 2023

    The Kremlin’s Efforts to Covertly Spread Disinformation in Latin America

    https://www.state.gov/the-krem…rmation-in-latin-america/

    The Russian government is currently financing an on-going, well-funded disinformation campaign across Latin America. The Kremlin’s campaign plans to leverage developed media contacts in Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Mexico, Venezuela, Brazil, Ecuador, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, and Uruguay, among other countries in Latin America, in order to carry out an information manipulation campaign designed to surreptitiously exploit the openness of Latin America’s media and information environment. The Kremlin’s ultimate goal appears to be to launder its propaganda and disinformation through local media in a way that feels organic to Latin American audiences to undermine support for Ukraine and propagate anti-U.S. and anti-NATO sentiment.

    What we know:

    The Social Design Agency (SDA), the Institute for Internet Development, and Structura coordinated on the development of an information manipulation campaign targeting Latin America that aims to promote Russia’s strategic interests in the region at the expense of other countries by overtly and covertly coopting local media and influencers to spread disinformation and propaganda. These are “influence-for-hire” firms with deep technical capability, experience in exploiting open information environments, and a history of proliferating disinformation and propaganda to further Russia’s foreign influence objectives.

    As this year’s Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community makes clear, Russia’s influence actors have adapted their efforts to increasingly hide their hand, laundering their preferred messaging through a vast ecosystem of Russian proxy websites, individuals, and organizations that appear to be independent news sources. Moscow seeds original stories or amplifies preexisting popular or divisive discourse using a network of state media, proxy, and social media influence actors and then intensifies that content to further penetrate the Western information environment. These activities can include disseminating false content and amplifying information perceived as beneficial to Russian influence efforts or conspiracy theories.

    The actors involved:

    Ilya Gambashidze, director of the Russian public relations firm known as the Social Design Agency, leads a group of malign influence actors comprised of members from SDA and Structura to conduct an information manipulation campaign against Latin American countries.

    In addition to Gambashidze, the individuals involved include but are not limited to SDA Project Director Andrey Perla, Structura CEO Nikolay Tupikin, and pro-Kremlin journalist Oleg Yasinskiy (alternate: Yasinsky).

    The mechanics of the Campaign:

    A cultivated group of editorial staff would be organized in a Latin American country, most likely in Chile, with several local individuals and representatives – journalists and public opinion leaders – of various countries in the region.

    A team in Russia would then create content and send the material to the editorial staff in Latin America for review, editing, and ultimately publication in local mass media. In effect, this information laundering process would see pro-Kremlin content created in Russia get “localized” by the curated Latin American staff and published in Latin American media to appear organic.

    The Translator: The role of Moscow-based linguistics editors proficient in the Spanish language is integral to the campaign. The editors often use aliases to obfuscate their true identities to ensure the information is laundered in a way that feels organic to the target audience.

    Yasinskiy maintains and leverages a vast network of Spanish and Portuguese-speaking journalists and media outlets to propagate pro-Russian messages without compromising his efforts to more naturally assimilate the content in Latin American media to the SDA and Structura’s benefit.

    While the network’s operations are primarily done in concert with Spanish-language outlets Pressenza and El Ciudadano, a broader network of media resources is available to the group to further amplify information.

    The Kremlin’s hidden hand:
    The themes and success metrics for the campaigns were developed in conjunction with and at the direction of the Russian government, with Gambashidze, Perla, and Tupikin taking a lead role in their development.

    Controlling the pro-Kremlin narrative is an important aspect in building out the Latin American focused influence campaign. To do so, Structura CEO Tupikin ensures themes stay on topics of priority to the Kremlin.

    The operations themes primarily focus on attempting to persuade Latin American audiences that Russia’s war against Ukraine is just and that they can unite with Russia to defeat neocolonialism.

    These themes align with Russia’s broader false narrative that it is a champion against neocolonialization, when in reality it is engaged in neocolonialism and neo-imperialism in its war against Ukraine and its resource extraction in Africa.

    There are coordinated efforts between Russian embassies in Latin America and state-funded media outlets to increase pro-Kremlin messaging, spread anti-U.S. narratives, and develop partnerships among Russian state media, local media outlets and radio stations, perceived pro-Moscow third-country embassies in the region, and local journalists.


    In Luhansk, the car of the so-called "ex-head of the people's militia of the People's Republic of Ukraine" Mykhailo Filiponenko was blown up.

    Misha is already at Kobzon's concert - 4th row, 16th place.

    https://t.me/operativnoZSU/122321




    Check this from 13th-

    1,500 🔥 emojis on Russian TG anim_rofl.gif

    This dude did not have many friends.


    T    oday Mikhail Yuryevich Filipponenko went to the other world, I will not curry favor and choose kind words, about the dead it is either good or not at all. In his case, no way. And on the topic of who exactly blew it up, I would still argue. But I won't.

    I don’t know why the crests could have liquidated him, but I know exactly why many in the LPR wanted him dead. He earned himself a personal cauldron in hell.

    https://t.me/Separ13_13/21595


    B    y the way, he was a great friend of the notorious “Cornet”.

    Tomorrow marks exactly seven years since the day when my friend, paratrooper, Knight of the Order of Courage Artem Alekseevich Bulgakov was shot dead by this same Kornet right in the building of the Lugansk Ministry of Internal Affairs.

    No one was held responsible for his death.

    Cornet is extinguished somewhere after an assassination attempt in a barber shop, and his fat friend has been successfully blown up. Fate.

    During his lifetime, Filipponenko had a blast, fatal accidents (for which his curators covered him up), cutting the budget for “Dead Souls” in the People’s Militia of the LPR. And a lot of interesting things.

    https://t.me/Separ13_13/21596

    needed for Ukraine to move to maneuver warfare as opposed to positional warfare.

    He mentioned mostly 3 conditions in his white paper:

    1. Air supremacy (F16, drones)

    2. EW to prevent Russia from "seeing" the battlefield

    3. Artillery to cover the advance

    We are seeing all three conditions met in Krynky... guess what? It is working 💪




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    ?? Russian Sources ??



    \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6??\uD83C\uDDF7\uD83C\uDDFA Enemy channels report a significant presence of Ukrainian air defense on the right Bank of the Dnipro, which has effectively closed the skies for the Russian air force over Krynky. pic.twitter.com/1AppB41v3U
    — Astraia Intel \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@astraiaintel) November 8, 2023


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    Electronic Warfare (EW) a brief explanation.

    You have a drone and a controller, this is great but the range is 5-10km IF the airwaves are uncontested. Put up a mast to boost the signal and you can push this to 40km+.

    So you're pushing out there a really strong signal, one that is able to control and receive footage from a drone an hours drive away right. With enemy EW take a 0 off, that drone is now good for 3-4km, it's why FPV footage is so bad, it's not that the cameras are terrible it's that they are at their absolute limit of range due to the EW, by nature they are behind enemy lines.

    Ukraine have adapted well to the threat posed, they map the EW zones and fly through the gaps where possible but it's very much like a regular battle in that you'll see a piece of EW equipment go down and they'll exploit that 'gap' in the line to send drones through to do as much damage as possible.

    So the only real answer is to push out a stronger signal but with the issue being it's traceable, you can't transmit like that without putting a beacon on your gear, it's usually 1-200m remote or even further with intermediate stations but it's usually targeted relatively quickly, guys have been lost in the never ending game of moving the mast.

    Source: a Ukrainian UAF drone operator goes by 'Cod'.

    To those with short memories:

    Between 2014 and 2022, Ukraine held about 200 rounds of talks with Russia.

    During this period, 20 cease-fire agreements were reached, all of which were quickly violated by Russia.

    None of the 200 rounds of talks or the 20 ceasefires have prevented Putin from launching a brutal all-out invasion of Ukraine on February 24th, 2022.

    Those who argue that Ukraine should negotiate with Russia now are either uninformed or misled, or they side with Russia and want Putin to take a pause before an even larger aggression.

    We should not and will not fall into this trap.


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    This is a dedicated anti ballistic missile system, which would be your best chance at hitting an ATACMS round.


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    ??"The newest \uD83C\uDDF7\uD83C\uDDFARussian S-300B4 air defense system was discovered and destroyed in the South", — Commander of the \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6Tavria Operational-Strategic Group Tarnavskyi pic.twitter.com/z1P99TaaCt
    — \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6Ukrainian Front (@front_ukrainian) November 9, 2023

    lol, not as advertised.


    S-300 missile system - Wikipedia
    en.wikipedia.org

    The S-300V4 is also called S-300VMD.[citation needed] It is developed to target high-value airborne targets, such as AWACS aircraft, at long distances.[32][33] Different versions of the NPO Novator 9M82MD[34] S-300V4 missiles have a range of 400 kilometres (250 mi) at Mach 7.5 or a range of 350 kilometres (220 mi) at Mach 9, and can destroy maneuvering targets even at very high altitudes.[35][36] An export version exists, marketed as the Antey-4000.[37]

    F-fPLHYXUAAaEWw?format=jpg&name=medium

    Russia's S-300B4 missile system will be able to shoot down hypersonic missiles
    BulgarianMilitary.com listened to the radio interview of the Russian military expert Igor Korotchenko, who announced that the Russian military industry was…
    bulgarianmilitary.com

    BulgarianMilitary.com listened to the radio interview of the Russian military expert Igor Korotchenko, who announced on Radio Sputnik that the Russian military industry was already testing a missile system capable of shooting down enemy hypersonic missiles.

    According to him, the S-300B4 system has already managed to do this. A few months ago, tests were conducted with it, which took place in several stages, according to the expert, and the missile system has shown the ability to intercept and shoot down operational-tactical and, most importantly, hypersonic missiles, even “foreign”, which are known that they are in the final stage of development and testing. We remind you that in addition to Russia, hypersonic missiles are being developed in the EU and the USA, Japan, China, and India has the BrahMos subsonic missile, which is a joint development with Russian military engineers.

    According to Igor Korotchenko, the ability of the S-300B4 to cope with complex tasks is due to a newly developed ammunition, which has a range of up to 400 km. “The potential enemy has no chance” are the words of the former commander of the anti-missile forces of the Russian Federation, Lieutenant General Aiteh Bijev, and the new ammunition can provide more than perfect protection of Russian territory against the so-called “modern missiles”, and for quite a long time. period of time.

    Igor Korotchenko said on Sputnik radio that the new missile system has already been presented at the Army 2020 exhibition, which took place this year in Russia. He also said that Russia has already developed an export version of the system, which will be named Abakan. According to the expert, given the high cost of Russian air defense systems S-400, the exported version of S-300B4 already has a significant advantage in international markets and will give future customers a very high quality of performance of tasks, and the systems can be quickly produced i.e. Countries that urgently need a quality air defense system will be able to order this one.

    Russian TG-


    Military medical institutions and hospitals cannot cope with the flow of military personnel. But civilian clinics do not accept military personnel. We tried to figure out what was going on with compulsory medical insurance, it seemed like a mobilized/contract soldier became a military serviceman and his compulsory medical insurance was cancelled. Nobody understands how to act.

    Therefore, for fighters, the choice is either a hospital, but there are not enough of them, and doctors are simply overwhelmed with work, or treatment at their own expense. Hospitals do not always have the necessary medications, but civilian clinics do. Every day the guys write to us that they don’t accept us, don’t treat us, send us, there are queues for operations, and so on.

    Despite the fact that Turchak’s Working Group simply continuously identifies all the problems and helps solve them, offers these very solutions (I love these guys), in particular, so that private clinics that accept compulsory medical insurance would also accept our soldiers. Even the Defenders of the Fatherland Foundation reported that free and centralized medical rehabilitation will be available to veterans of the Northern Military District and members of their families. And already this year, 200 thousand cases of hospitalization in 24-hour hospitals are provided for SVO participants. But for now the problem remains.

    Hospitals have no instructions on how to act. The Ministry of Health does not provide any explanations. The wait for the operation is very long. And a significant number are forced to spend the money they received for being wounded on their own treatment, and even that is not enough.

    It happens that a decision was made in favor of the fighters, but no one brought it to the lower structures. Or he begins to split hairs and create problems, or bargain and siphon money from the state, and so on.

    The health of our guys and their further rehabilitation are extremely important. They survived, there is no need to finish them off in the rear, especially since the President gave instructions to throw all efforts at supporting the fighters. And civilian structures must now become more active in helping the military and security forces. Especially the Ministry of Health.

    https://t.me/akashevarova/6753

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    This is an encapsulation of the tables turned in the Kazakhstan-Russia relations: President of Kazakhstan pulls a power move and opens his speech to the visiting Russian delegation headed by Putin speaking Kazakh. You can see the bewilderment and confusion among the delegation pic.twitter.com/fEpJB57frR
    — Bakhti Nishanov (@b_nishanov) November 9, 2023
    Quote
    Hilarious! The President of Kazakhstan decided to speak his country's own language and the Russian delegation is confused and alarmed. The Russians have lost control of Central Asia. https://t.co/axk1YhgoVc
    Jake Broe (@RealJakeBroe) November 10, 2023
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    A handful of folks have asked why this is notable. After all, a Kazakh president speaking Kazakh shouldn't be surprising. And that's precisely the point: while it shouldn't be a surprise, the Russian delegation fully expected him to speak Russian. Normally that's what's happens:…
    — Bakhti Nishanov (@b_nishanov) November 9, 2023

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    ISW assessment for November 11th.

    Institute for the Study of War

    Continued Russian milblogger discussion of widespread Russian infantry-led frontal assaults highlights the challenges Russia will face in using massed infantry assaults to offset the problems contributing to the current positional warfare identified by Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi. One milblogger emphasized on November 11 that the Russian practice of conducting tactical assaults intended to storm Ukrainian fortified positions in forest areas of Donbas will not translate into a wider operational breakthrough anywhere on the front.[18]

    The milblogger noted that there is no way to train enough Russian personnel for the intensive frontal assaults required for significant advances in Ukraine.[19] Another milblogger claimed that the Russian military is about to experience a "real renaissance of infantry combat" because there are fewer tanks, infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs), and armored personnel carriers (APCs) close to the frontline.[20]

    A critical milblogger responded to the "infantry renaissance" comment and remarked that the comment is a negative reflection of Russian equipment losses and poor frontline coordination that has created a reliance on assault tactics.[21] A Russian Spetsnaz-affiliated Telegram channel additionally complained that the reliance on infantry-led frontal assaults is heavily attriting all Spetsnaz elements that have deployed to Ukraine because the Russian command has reportedly been using Spetsnaz forces for frontal assaults since the beginning of the war.[22]

    Spetsnaz forces are not meant to conduct such infantry-led assaults like standard Russian motorized rifle infantry, and some Russian sources are clearly frustrated with the ramifications of the misapplication of such Spetsnaz elements.

    ISW has previously observed that Russian forces are increasingly relying on such infantry-led frontal assaults, likely to compensate for a lack of adequately trained personnel and due to widespread equipment losses.[23] The Russian General Staff appears to be relying heavily on frontal assaults as the predominant tactic in Ukraine as an important part of the Russian solution to the problems of "military parity" laid out by Zaluzhnyi's essay on the issue of "positional warfare."[24]